Previous talks at the SCCS Colloquium

Julia Konrad: Reduced-dimension Context-aware Multi-fidelity Monte Carlo Sampling

SCCS Colloquium |


Multi-fidelity Monte Carlo sampling has proven to be an efficient method for quantifying uncertainty in applications with a large number of stochastic input parameters and computationally expensive models. The method consists of evaluating low-fidelity models in addition to the given high-fidelity model in order to speed up the computation of high-fidelity model statistics. In regular multi-fidelity Monte Carlo sampling, low-fidelity models are static and cannot be changed. Context-aware multi-fidelity Monte Carlo sampling takes into account that e.g., data-driven low-fidelity models can be improved using evaluations of the high-fidelity model. This method trades off refining the low-fidelity models and sampling both types of models. In this thesis, we use sensitivity information to construct low-fidelity models that depend only on subsets of important input parameters in addition to a full-dimensional low-fidelity model. We explore the potential of such reduced-dimension low-fidelity models to further reduce the mean squared error of context-aware multi-fidelity Monte Carlo estimators. To this end, our method is used to perform uncertainty quantification in a scenario from plasma micro-turbulence simulation that models the suppression of turbulence by energetic particles, and for which quantifying uncertainty can be challenging using traditional approaches.

Master's thesis presentation. Julia is advised by Dr. Ionut-Gabriel Farcas, Dr. Tobias Neckel and Prof. Frank Jenko.